Sunday, August 20, 2017

My view point on Managepay System Berhad (MPAY)
MPAY is an ACE market board or called second board. ACE company revenue very small compare to Main Board company and deviation on revenue and profit performance sometime is unbelievable can fly to space in one second vice versa for bad management company. Actually I’m scaring on this kind of company. But still have a lot of good company with good performance and fast growth few years after moving to Main Board. MPAY is listed on ACE since 2011, founder is a younger guy and he is still holding the main post since listed. Checked back the Annual report (Y2012 ~ Y2016) let me feel uncomfortable as told scaring ACE company. Please bear in mind when read Annual report minimum 5 years back for especially ACE company as well new listed company. They are sometime playing on book keeping this why MPAY let me feel uncomfortable, 1st three years good performance revenue keep increasing but following years (Y2015 & Y2016) is lost even Y2017 Q1 QoQ & YoY. I wonder the company why keep losing but is NET CASH company and normally NET CASH company even lost will pay dividen but not MPAY found they did two times private placement and one times exercise warrant. The founder Chew Chee Seng acquired of 28 million shares on September last year, he expected the company will have good performance after launching Mpay wallet I guess.
MPAY is Fintech company main core business e-Commerce like Credit card Pin & Pay, Pay wave etc. Listed company in Fintech field is very little. BNM  license to carry money services business and she subsidiary company was pointed in eCommerce project called Malaysia National eCommerce Strategic Roadmap and they launched a MP@Y wallet like Alipay, we chat pay etc. Last year MPAY granted another license called Peer to Pear financing platform operator license meant everyone can be a finance institute lending money to any party via MPAY platform and gain interest. Total 6 license was granted and MPAY is the only listed company.  

Advantages
1.      Company is on same track to National eCommerce Strategic roadmap
2.      Company business (Fintech) are current decade trend have bright future
3.      Company are the member in project of National eCommerce Strategic roadmap opportunity better than others.
4.      MPAY is the only company that benefit to us on eCommerce trend business because it is listed.
5.      P2P lending license on hand, Pioneer company.

Disadvatages
1.      Can MPay wallet competition to gaint companies like Samsung pay , Maybank pay  etc.?
2.      Can Fintech to be diffused in Malaysia? How long to take… 1 years , 2 years or more ?
3.      If National eCommerce & Fintech system fail as well MPAY.
4.      How market confident with Malaysia cybersecurity system will be affected to MPAY performance.

Conclusion
For long term MPAY may explode few hundred percent up in revenue in once if Fintech can be diffused in Malaysia but may need waiting at least 1 to 2 years as eCommerce ecology yet built.  For Short term as today price 0.28 few resistances to be broken in order to break the historical high, gain lever very little.


ykbeh 23/7/2017